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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,131,582,423

316,324

Markets across

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Entertainment
Madonna monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?
kalshi
polymarket

Madonna monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?

Total volume:
$17,762
Volume 24h:
$792
4,457%
Liquidity:
$1,664
3%
Open interest:
$35
0%

↑ 57m

 - Polymarket

↑ 57m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 07d:06h:04m

Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 57m by August 31?

4%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 7.5¢ buys you 1,333 shares | Odds: 4% Total Payout: $1,333 | Net Profit: $1,233 Multiplier: 13.33x | ROI: 1,233% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 57m

Trade
4%
Yes 7.5¢No 98.9¢
6.4¢
$75
$109
0%
63%
N/A
1w 6h
active
polymarket

↑ 56m

Trade
3%
Yes 5.4¢No 98.9¢
4.3¢
$156
$466
20%
323%
N/A
1w 6h
active
polymarket

↑ 58m

Trade
3%
Yes 4.6¢No 98.4¢
3¢
$713
$12,070
0%
0.14%
N/A
1w 6h
active
polymarket

↑ 60m

Trade
2%
Yes 3.4¢No 98.9¢
2.3¢
$430
$3,772
17%
20%
N/A
1w 6h
active
polymarket

↑ 62m

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 2.5¢No 99.7¢
2.2¢
$290
$1,310
14%
14%
N/A
1w 6h
active
kalshi

Ella Langley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
1w 20h
No
kalshi

Lil Baby

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
1w 20h
No
kalshi

Ice Spice

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
1w 20h
No
kalshi

Oliver Tree

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
1w 20h
No
kalshi

HYBE LABELS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
1w 20h
No
kalshi

KATSEYE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
1w 20h
No
kalshi

Moneybagg Yo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
1w 20h
No
kalshi

Shakira

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 20h
No
kalshi

Burna Boy

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 20h
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group tracks whether Madonna's monthly listener count on Spotify will reach specified thresholds (58m, 60m, 62m) by August 31. The markets resolve based on Spotify's reported monthly listener figures for Madonna's primary artist profile.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Spotify's monthly listener count for Madonna's primary artist profile as the sole resolution metric, with consistent evaluation timing and no baseline adjustmentsPrimary resolution logic: Spotify public artist profile

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve Yes if Madonna's Spotify monthly listeners ≥ specified threshold at any time through August 31, 11:59 PM ET
  • Resolve No if threshold is never reached by the deadline
  • Only primary artist profile counts - collaborations or features under other profiles do not contribute

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Profile Changes: If Madonna creates a new primary profile after market creation, the new profile's listener count will be used
  • Data Delays: Spotify may update listener counts with a 24-hour delay; markets resolve based on finally reported numbers regardless of update timing
Timing: Evaluation period ends August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Madonna has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Kalshi

The event determines whether any of the listed artists or labels—Shakira, Burna Boy, Ella Langley, Oliver Tree, HYBE LABELS, KATSEYE, Moneybagg Yo, Lil Baby, or Ice Spice—achieves the #1 position on YouTube Charts' Daily Top Music Videos chart at any point during August 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the corresponding artist or label holds the top spot on the specified chart for any day within that month, measured before September 1, 2026. All markets operate independently; the resolution of one does not affect the others. Importantly, these markets and related products are not endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube or its marks are used descriptively, indicating no affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Madonna listener count market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of Madonna hitting a specific listener milestone. It displays current odds, volume of $16,970, and 24-hour volume of $46, offering a consensus view of market sentiment toward this prediction.

On Polymarket, odds reflect a narrower view shaped by recent platform activity and trader sentiment, often diverging from broader analyst forecasts that incorporate historical trends and media analytics. This market’s pricing can shift quickly with new social media buzz or platform algorithm changes, making it more responsive — and sometimes more volatile — than traditional research reports.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will hinge on officially reported listener statistics, ensuring an objective close based on observable data rather than speculation.

Major announcements from Madonna’s team, surprise collaborations, or viral moments on streaming platforms could shift this market dramatically. Any significant change in her monthly listener count — whether positive or negative — driven by media coverage or algorithm updates, may cause rapid repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi as traders react to new information.