TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowe's Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

What will Lowe's credit card spend be in September?

Volume:
$37,760

Above 96

 - Kalshi

Above 96 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 96

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,628
N/A
N/A
$4,086
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,301
N/A
N/A
$2,856
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,068
N/A
N/A
$2,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 92

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,419
N/A
N/A
$2,419
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,923
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 97

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,362
N/A
N/A
$1,899
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,970
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
$440
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
$490
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,526
N/A
N/A
$3,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 107

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,347
N/A
N/A
$4,131
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 113

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets track Lowe's credit card spending performance for September 2026, measured against various year-over-year growth thresholds using Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction data. The outcomes depend on whether spending exceeds specific index values, with 100 representing equal spending compared to the same month last year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for Lowe's Credit Card Spend in September 2026, with no impact from later corrections or revisions. The index reflects year-over-year change, where values above 100 indicate growth relative to the same month in the prior year. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the reported index exceeds the specified level (ranging from 92 to 104), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The data source is Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily and matched to the prior year's corresponding period. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Lowe's or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Lowe's credit card spend. While analysts may incorporate a wide range of economic indicators and historical trends, traders adjust prices based on recent data, sentiment, and anticipated short-term changes, sometimes leading to notable differences in projected outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on officially released financial data from Lowe's for the September period, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.

Several signals could influence this market before it settles, including monthly retail sales reports, consumer confidence indices, changes in interest rates affecting consumer spending, and any major economic announcements impacting retail performance. Additionally, unexpected events such as supply chain disruptions or significant marketing campaigns from Lowe's could also cause price shifts as traders reassess their expectations.