TOTAL VOLUME:

$160b

24H VOL:

$110,109,672

24H TRANSACTIONS:

3,097,314,247

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,597,120,427

370,203

Markets across

37,366

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,619

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Other
Economics
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lemonade total customers in Q3
Financials
kalshi

Lemonade total customers in Q3

Volume:
$117,247

Above 3.5 million

 - Kalshi

Above 3.5 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 5, 2026

Closed: Nov 5, 11:31 AM ET

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h Vol Δ
7d Vol Δ
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.5 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
--
--
$28,863
N/A
N/A
$7,524
3mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.48 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
--
--
$22,193
N/A
N/A
$4,811
3mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.52 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
--
--
$21,446
N/A
N/A
$5,527
3mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.46 million

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
--
--
$13,523
N/A
N/A
$5,791
3mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.44 million

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
--
--
$4,817
N/A
N/A
$1,841
3mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.58 million

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
--
--
$17,726
N/A
N/A
$6,349
3mo 4w
No
kalshi

Above 3.54 million

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
--
--
$4,443
N/A
N/A
$2,665
3mo 4w
No
kalshi

Above 3.56 million

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
--
--
$4,236
N/A
N/A
$3,754
3mo 4w
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks Lemonade Inc.'s ability to attract and retain users over a specific period, reflecting its growth trajectory and market penetration. The outcome depends on whether the company's reported customer base exceeds certain thresholds, offering insight into its scalability and customer acquisition effectiveness during that timeframe.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Lemonade Inc.'s total customer count reported for Q3 2026, with multiple threshold markets each defining a different level of success. If the company's reported customer total exceeds any of the specified thresholds—3,440,000, 3,460,000, 3,480,000, 3,500,000, or 3,520,000—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with Lemonade Inc., and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the official customer count disclosure for the specified quarter.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Lemonade customer count market dashboard displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $25,414 for the Lemonade customer count market. This single-platform view shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around Lemonade’s expected customer numbers for the quarter, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook by incorporating real-time trader sentiment and bettor sentiment. While analysts may provide a single estimate or range, the market price captures a probabilistic view that can diverge based on recent news, financial performance, or broader industry trends influencing trader behavior.

This market resolves around Mar 10, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final customer count reported by Lemonade for the quarter will determine which outcome is settled, based on data from the company’s official financial disclosures.

Key signals that could shift this market include Lemonade’s quarterly earnings releases, customer growth announcements, marketing campaign performance, competitive activity from insurance peers, and macroeconomic factors affecting consumer demand for insurance products. Any unexpected news around partnerships, regulatory changes, or product launches may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.