TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Intel Corporation's employee count for a specific quarter, focusing on whether the company surpasses various employment thresholds. It reflects expectations about Intel's growth or contraction, influenced by factors like product demand, expansion plans, and economic conditions. The outcome depends on the official quarterly report released by Intel.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of Intel Corporation's headcount for Q3 2026, each representing a progressively higher employee count. If Intel reports a headcount exceeding any of the specified thresholds—ranging from above 79,000 to above 83,500—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The structure creates a tiered resolution framework, where higher thresholds build upon lower ones. All markets share the same reporting period and source, ensuring consistency. The event ultimately determines whether Intel's employment numbers meet or exceed any of the defined levels, with each threshold acting as a separate but related condition.
On Kalshi, odds for this market reflect trader expectations about Intel’s Q3 headcount. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may be influenced by different methodologies, models, or access to internal data. Comparing the two offers a unique perspective on market versus institutional sentiment, highlighting potential surprises or consensus points in the lead-up to the report.
This market resolves around Feb 19, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final headcount figure reported by Intel for Q3 will determine the winning outcome, based on official company disclosures or reputable financial news sources that confirm the result.