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$1,944,100,805

420,493

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Instacart gross transaction value in Q3
kalshi

What will Instacart's gross transaction value be in Q3?

Volume:
$133,208

Above $10.5 billion

 - Kalshi

Above $10.5 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 1:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $10.5 billion

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,381
N/A
N/A
$17,275
4mo 1d
Yes
kalshi

Above $10.4 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,907
N/A
N/A
$10,864
4mo 1d
Yes
kalshi

Above $10.45 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,110
N/A
N/A
$10,848
4mo 1d
Yes
kalshi

Above $10.35 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,040
N/A
N/A
$7,165
4mo 1d
Yes
kalshi

Above $10.3 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,813
N/A
N/A
$7,733
4mo 1d
Yes
kalshi

Above $10.65 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,626
N/A
N/A
$4,938
4mo 1d
No
kalshi

Above $10.6 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,693
N/A
N/A
$7,562
4mo 1d
No
kalshi

Above $10.55 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,121
N/A
N/A
$9,855
4mo 1d
No
kalshi

Above $10.7 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,517
N/A
N/A
$3,501
4mo 1d
No
Total markets: 9

Description

Instacart's gross transaction value reflects the total amount of goods and services sold through its platform over a specific period. In Q3 2026, analysts and investors will closely monitor this metric to gauge the company's growth and market penetration. A higher transaction value indicates stronger consumer demand and effective scaling of operations.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Instacart's reported gross transaction value for Q3 2026. Markets resolve to Yes if the reported value exceeds specified thresholds ranging from $10.3 billion to $10.7 billion. All markets share the same secondary rule, clarifying that Kalshi has no official affiliation with Instacart and that all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The outcome depends solely on the publicly reported financial data for the quarter.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Instacart Q3 transaction value market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $83,897. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different gross transaction value outcomes for Instacart in the third quarter, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and activity for this specific prediction.

Currently, odds from this market reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean toward certain expectations based on recent performance trends, traders in this market are pricing in a range of possibilities that can shift quickly with new data, news, or changes in consumer behavior. The gap between these two sets of expectations can highlight areas where market participants diverge from traditional financial analysis.

This market resolves around Mar 4, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final gross transaction value reported by Instacart for Q3 will determine which outcome is correct, based on official company disclosures and widely accepted financial data sources.

Key signals that could shift this market include Instacart’s quarterly earnings releases, changes in consumer spending patterns, macroeconomic announcements affecting retail trends, and any major partnerships or service expansions announced by the company. Each new data point that influences expectations for Q3 performance can cause rapid re-pricing of odds and volume changes as traders adjust their positions.