TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Instacart App Downloads in September
kalshi

Instacart App Downloads in September

Volume:
$76,305

Above 126

 - Kalshi

Above 126 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 126

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,197
N/A
N/A
$3,203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 120

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,128
N/A
N/A
$6,780
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 108

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,101
N/A
N/A
$7,501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 124

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,057
N/A
N/A
$4,966
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 112

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,825
N/A
N/A
$3,625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 116

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,551
N/A
N/A
$3,862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 122

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,548
N/A
N/A
$3,095
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,101
N/A
N/A
$3,101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 132

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,629
N/A
N/A
$4,612
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 128

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,326
N/A
N/A
$5,869
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 130

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,275
N/A
N/A
$4,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 136

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,567
N/A
N/A
$3,409
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This market evaluates Instacart App Downloads in September 2026 against several benchmarks. Resolution depends on Carbon Arc’s initial report for that month, comparing performance to the previous year.

Kalshi

Several markets determine if the Carbon Arc Instacart App Downloads for September 2026 exceed specified thresholds (116, 120, 122, 124, 126, 128, 130, 132, and 136). Each market resolves to Yes if the reported value for September 2026 is above its respective threshold. The resolution is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, with any subsequent corrections or revisions not impacting the outcome. The index measures year-over-year performance, where 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the same month last year, values above 100 denote growth, and values below 100 signify decline. Kalshi notes it has no affiliation with or connection to the underlying company, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Instacart download market tracks the current odds and price history for this prediction, alongside daily trading volume of $6,599. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the likelihood of different download outcomes for September, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment and activity for short_topic.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a real-time aggregation of trader expectations and can diverge noticeably from polling averages or Wall Street projections. Where analysts may offer long-term views, this market captures short-term sentiment shifts and betting patterns, often highlighting risks or opportunities that aren’t fully priced into conventional estimates.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will match official app store or verified analytics data sources, closing all positions based on the confirmed September download figures.

Key signals include major product announcements, promotional campaigns, competitor app releases, or shifts in consumer behavior following seasonal trends or economic changes. Any news affecting user adoption or usage patterns — such as feature updates, pricing changes, or media coverage — can cause rapid price swings in this market as traders reassess probabilities.