TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 10?
polymarket

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 10?

Volume:
$79,364

25-49

 - Polymarket

25-49 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 2:02 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25-49

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$32,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<25

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-74

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

75-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 10, 2026, through August 16, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 10, 2026, through August 16, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Strait of Hormuz shipping market, along with 24-hour volume of $7,760. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the expected number of ships transiting the strait during the week of August 10, reflecting current sentiment and available information.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the exact ship count for the week of August 10 is verifiable from credible public reporting and official maritime data sources. The closing timestamp is set, and the result is compared against the market’s defined categories at that moment.

Key signals include regional geopolitical developments, sudden changes in oil tanker routing, published weekly shipping reports, and any incidents or restrictions in the strait itself. Each new data point can shift trader expectations and move this market sharply as Polymarket participants reassess probabilities in the final days before Aug 16, 2026.