TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?
polymarket

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

Volume:
$842,031

25-49

 - Polymarket

25-49 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 12, 2026

Closed: May 2, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25-49

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$261,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

100-124

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<25

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-74

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

75-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

125-149

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

150+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 27, 2026, through May 3, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.