TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the number of official presidential actions taken by Donald Trump during a specific week in 2026. The outcome depends solely on the actions published on an official government website by a set deadline, regardless of their legal impact.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the number of presidential actions published on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov by 10:00 AM ET on Oct 25, 2026, covering the period from Oct 18 to Oct 24, 2026. Actions include proclamations, executive orders, nominations, appointments, and memoranda, and any item listed on the page counts regardless of legal effect. The resolution depends strictly on publication dates displayed on the specified page; actions not published by the deadline, even if signed earlier, do not count. Examples clarify that only items appearing under "Presidential Actions" qualify, with backdated publications or unposted communications excluded from consideration.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices based on their expectations. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, betting that the number of presidential actions will be above a certain threshold, or 'no' contracts, betting it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. As more trades occur, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus of the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of official presidential actions taken by former President Trump during the specified period, October 18th to October 24th. These actions include executive orders, proclamations, memoranda, and any other official statements or directives issued by the former President. The final determination will rely on publicly available records and reporting from reputable news sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any unexpected announcements or actions taken by former President Trump during the specified timeframe would be a primary driver. Major political developments, such as significant legislative changes or legal rulings, could also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and public reactions to Trump’s activities will play a role, as will any unforeseen events that might affect his schedule or priorities. Increased trading volume, particularly concentrated on one side of the market, could also indicate a shift in expectations and cause prices to move rapidly.
