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How many Codex resets week of September 28?
polymarket

How many Codex resets week of September 28?

Volume:
$11,715

2

 - Polymarket

2 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:20 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4+

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 28, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 4, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 28, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 4, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Codex resets market tracks the current odds of various outcomes, providing a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets. It also displays the price history, allowing you to analyze how sentiment has shifted over time. Additionally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour volume, indicating how much trading activity this market has seen recently. Currently, the total volume for this market is $11,715 and the 24-hour volume is $5,890.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. In this market, the current probabilities expressed by traders on Polymarket may align with or diverge from external predictions regarding the number of Codex resets expected during the week of September 28. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the wisdom of the crowd identifying overlooked factors. It’s valuable to consider both perspectives when forming your own assessment.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment. The current implied probability of a reset happening is reflected in the share price, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final result.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of Codex resets occurring during the week of September 28 will be determined by publicly available data, and the market will settle based on that verified count. Traders should monitor official announcements and reliable sources to stay informed about the progress of the event and ensure a clear understanding of the final result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding changes to the Codex protocol, announcements from the development team, or unexpected technical issues could all influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader market conditions within the cryptocurrency space, or increased scrutiny of the Codex project, could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.