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410,482

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How many Codex resets week of October 19?
polymarket

How many Codex resets week of October 19?

Volume:
$2,548

4+

 - Polymarket

4+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 2:06 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

4+

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 19, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 25, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 19, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 25, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Codex resets market tracks the current odds of different outcomes for the number of Codex resets occurring during the week of October 19. You'll find the implied probability of each possibility, along with a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume traded in this market, giving you a sense of how actively it’s being traded. Current volume is $1,609, and total volume to date is $2,548.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. For this market, it's important to consider whether the current pricing reflects a consensus view that aligns with or diverges from what industry analysts are predicting regarding Codex reset activity. Often, prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, analyst opinions can provide valuable context and reasoning behind potential outcomes, so it’s useful to consider both.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, events, and any information that could affect the number of Codex resets during the specified week.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of Codex resets during the week of October 19 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding Codex reset activity. The outcome will be determined by a clear count of resets, as reported by trusted sources, and will reflect the actual number of resets that occurred within the defined timeframe. This market's resolution is dependent on externally verifiable data.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any official announcements from the Codex team regarding planned resets or changes to their reset schedule would be a major catalyst. Unexpected technical issues or security vulnerabilities within the Codex system could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader market sentiment towards Codex and the overall cryptocurrency landscape could play a role. News regarding adoption rates or significant partnerships could also impact the perceived likelihood of different reset scenarios.