TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?
polymarket

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?

Volume:
$34,629

0

 - Polymarket

0 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 4, 2026

Closed: May 2, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.