TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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How high will the Hang Seng Index get in September 2026?
kalshi

How high will the Hang Seng Index get in September 2026?

Volume:
$4,239

At least HK$25,500

 - Kalshi

At least HK$25,500 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 11:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least HK$25,500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,303
N/A
N/A
$3,303
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least HK$28,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
No
kalshi

At least HK$29,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$287
Settled
No
kalshi

At least HK$29,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
kalshi

At least HK$27,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

At least HK$28,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

At least HK$26,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

At least HK$26,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least HK$27,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets assess whether the Hang Seng Index will reach specific threshold values during September 2026. Each market corresponds to a different target level, and resolution depends on whether the index hits that level at any point within the month.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the Hang Seng Index (HSI) reaches or exceeds its specified threshold value at any point between September 1, 2026, and September 30, 2026. The index level is evaluated using data reported by Trading View, in its native currency and units, with no currency conversion applied. The threshold need only be met once during the period; sustained levels are not required. If the index never reaches the specified level throughout the month, the market resolves to 'No.' Post-expiration revisions to the index are disregarded. Should no data be available for the entire period by the expiration date, all markets except 'No data' or 'None' resolve to 'No.' All index levels are evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified. Kalshi and its data sources are not affiliated with the index provider.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Hang Seng Index market displays the current implied probabilities of various price levels for September 2026. You can view the real-time odds, price history charts, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $0. The total volume traded on this market is $4,239. The dashboard also highlights the most actively traded outcomes, allowing you to quickly assess where traders are focusing their attention. It provides a dynamic view of market sentiment regarding the future performance of the Hang Seng Index.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on where the Hang Seng Index will be in September 2026. These views, reflected in the odds on Kalshi, can be compared to traditional analyst forecasts. Do analysts predict a similar range of potential outcomes? Are they more or less bullish than the crowd? It's important to note that prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and incentivize accurate forecasting, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst reports. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive understanding of potential future scenarios for the index.

This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final settlement will be based on the closing value of the Hang Seng Index on the last trading day of September 2026. The market will determine whether the index reaches or exceeds the price levels represented by the available contracts. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions align with the actual closing value of the index at that time.

Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market before Oct 2, 2026. Major economic announcements from China, such as GDP growth figures or changes in monetary policy, would likely have a substantial impact. Geopolitical events, including trade tensions or regional conflicts, could also introduce volatility. Unexpected corporate earnings reports from key companies within the Hang Seng Index, and broader global market trends, such as shifts in interest rates or investor risk appetite, are all potential catalysts. Any news that alters the outlook for the Chinese economy or global financial markets could move this market.