TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?
kalshi

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 7:05 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 3:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

4.96% or above

 - Kalshi

4.96% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:14h:32m

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% by Nov 6, 2026?

68%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 68¢ buys you 147 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $147 | Net Profit: $47 Multiplier: 1.47x | ROI: 47% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.96% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
24¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

4.97% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
25¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

4.98% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
26¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

4.99% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
26¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
26¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.01% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
26¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.02% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
26¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.03% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
26¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.04% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
24¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.05% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
24¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.06% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
23¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.07% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
22¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.08% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
21¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.09% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.1% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.11% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
21¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.12% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.13% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.14% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
kalshi

5.15% or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 32m
Active
Total markets: 20

Description

These markets track potential movements in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield over a specific period, resolving based on whether the yield surpasses various threshold levels on any business day. Each market corresponds to a different yield level, with outcomes determined by official daily publications from the U.S. Department of the Treasury.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury during the period from October 30, 2026, to November 6, 2026. For each market, if the yield exceeds its specified threshold on any business day within this window, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The resolution relies exclusively on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, with intraday values excluded. Any revisions to the yield data after the expiration period are disregarded. Markets may expire early if the threshold is met, otherwise they expire at 10:00 AM ET on the day following the final day of the period. If the expiration value cannot be determined, the contract follows Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.