TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:21 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track projected year-over-year changes in Home Depot's credit card spending for September 2026, using a standardized index where 100 represents equal spending compared to the same month last year. Higher index values indicate increased consumer spending growth at Home Depot relative to the prior year.
All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for the Home Depot Credit Card Spend index for September 2026. The index reflects year-over-year changes in U.S. credit and debit card transactions specifically tied to Home Depot, with values above 100 indicating growth compared to the same period last year. Once a value is reported and the market is settled, any subsequent corrections or revisions to the data will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using Carbon Arc’s aggregated transaction panel, which matches spending patterns to the same month in the prior year and updates daily as new data becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data and widely accepted sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 14, 2026. Key drivers include Home Depot’s quarterly earnings releases, consumer spending reports, changes in credit card usage trends, and macroeconomic data such as inflation or interest rate decisions. Any unexpected news around consumer behavior or retail performance may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities for the final outcome.