TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Politics
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
polymarket

Who will win the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

Volume:
$22,169

Alexandre Leduc

 - Polymarket

Alexandre Leduc - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 7:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alexandre Leduc

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,769
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Béatrice Hodonou

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,789
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Janny Gaspard

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elena Penta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person Q

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person R

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person S

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person T

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve seat race tracks real-time odds and price movements on Polymarket, showing how traders value the chances of each candidate winning this seat. It also displays current volume of $22,169 and 24-hour volume of $2,589, letting you see market activity and liquidity trends as the election approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official Quebec National Assembly declaration will determine the winner, closing all bets and settling contracts according to the final, confirmed vote tally.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 5, 2026. Key catalysts include major party announcements, candidate debates, local scandals, or shifts in voter turnout expectations. Economic updates, regional issues gaining prominence, or endorsements from influential figures may also impact trader sentiment. As the election date approaches, polling updates will be closely watched, often driving rapid market adjustments based on new data.