TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
kalshi

HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Volume:
$4,806

Above $140M

 - Kalshi

Above $140M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 9:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $140M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,703
N/A
N/A
$170
2w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Above $95M

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,225
N/A
N/A
$659
2w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Above $125M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
$205
2w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Above $110M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$200
2w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Above $80M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
2w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Above $155M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,283
N/A
N/A
$162
2w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Above $170M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$27
2w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Above $65M

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Above $50M

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 15h
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

House Majority PAC's financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the Democratic-aligned independent expenditure committee's resources for House elections.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by House Majority PAC's cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $80M, $95M, $110M, $125M, $140M, $155M, and $170M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional polling averages, this market often reflects a more nuanced view of expectations, incorporating factors beyond simple voter preferences such as economic indicators, expert analysis, and trading dynamics. While polls may show a static snapshot of public opinion, traders in this market continuously adjust their positions based on new data, potentially offering a leading indicator of market sentiment about HMP's financial health.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate assessment of all participants. The chance percentage displayed represents the implied probability derived from these trades, and volume of $4,806 and 24-hour volume of $49 indicate the level of activity and liquidity in this market as it evolves toward resolution.

This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial statements or reputable news sources that disclose HMP's cash on hand as of the end of Q3, bringing closure to traders' positions based on how market expectations align with actual results.

Key signals that could shift this market include quarterly earnings reports, regulatory filings, major financial announcements, or economic indicators that affect HMP's cash flow. Any unexpected developments—such as funding rounds, legal settlements, or changes in leadership—may also influence trader sentiment, causing rapid adjustments in odds as new information reshapes expectations about the company's financial position by the end of Q3.