TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess potential growth in Hims' monthly credit card spending for September 2026, using year-over-year percentage comparisons. The outcomes depend on whether spending exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting varying degrees of growth relative to the same month in the previous year.
All markets share a common framework for determining outcomes based on Carbon Arc's reported Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend index for September 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 102 to 125), and resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index exceeds that threshold. The determination is made using the first value reported by Carbon Arc for the relevant period, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index measures year-over-year change in spending, where a value of 100 indicates equal spending compared to the same month in the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. The data is derived from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Hims or ownership of related trademarks.
Currently, this market reflects a lower probability than many analyst forecasts, which may suggest traders are more cautious about Hims achieving higher credit card spend in September. The gap between market odds and analyst expectations could narrow if new financial data, product launches, or consumer confidence reports emerge that shift market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data for Hims’s September credit card spend, matching the market’s defined thresholds.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 14, 2026. Key events include Hims' official earnings releases, announcements about new products or partnerships, changes in consumer spending behavior, and broader economic indicators like interest rate decisions. Any unexpected news around these areas may cause rapid adjustments in market odds as traders reassess their positions.