TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend in September

Volume:
$5,392

Above 102

 - Kalshi

Above 102 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 90

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 94

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 111

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 116

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$923
N/A
N/A
$395
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 113.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$883
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 121

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 118

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 125

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 109

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
$370
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
$381
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets assess potential growth in Hims' monthly credit card spending for September 2026, using year-over-year percentage comparisons. The outcomes depend on whether spending exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting varying degrees of growth relative to the same month in the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets share a common framework for determining outcomes based on Carbon Arc's reported Hims Monthly Credit Card Spend index for September 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 102 to 125), and resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index exceeds that threshold. The determination is made using the first value reported by Carbon Arc for the relevant period, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index measures year-over-year change in spending, where a value of 100 indicates equal spending compared to the same month in the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. The data is derived from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Hims or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Hims credit card spend market, along with a 24-hour volume of $539. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of Hims' September credit card spend hitting certain levels, offering a visual representation of market sentiment and activity over time.

Currently, this market reflects a lower probability than many analyst forecasts, which may suggest traders are more cautious about Hims achieving higher credit card spend in September. The gap between market odds and analyst expectations could narrow if new financial data, product launches, or consumer confidence reports emerge that shift market sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data for Hims’s September credit card spend, matching the market’s defined thresholds.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 14, 2026. Key events include Hims' official earnings releases, announcements about new products or partnerships, changes in consumer spending behavior, and broader economic indicators like interest rate decisions. Any unexpected news around these areas may cause rapid adjustments in market odds as traders reassess their positions.