TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Hims Credit Card Spend in October
kalshi

How will Hims credit card spend perform?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$20,551
Volume 24h:
$7,834N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$6,710
18%

Above 68

 - Kalshi

Above 68 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:09h:38m

Will Hims Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 68 ?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 36% 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 68

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$1,010
0%
N/A
$1,010
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 100

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$6,824
0%
72%
$1,225
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 92

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$2,318
0%
0%
$484
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 76

Trade
96%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$62
0%
0%
$62
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 104

Trade
79%
Yes 98¢No 21¢
19¢
N/A
$8,496
0%
3%
$2,728
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 108

Trade
47%
Yes 48¢No 81¢
29¢
N/A
$1,610
0%
0%
$1,111
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 116

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$231
0%
0%
$91
1w 4d 9h
Active
kalshi

Above 84

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 9h
Active
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks projected consumer spending trends for Hims using credit card data for October 2026. The outcome depends on whether aggregated spending levels exceed specific growth thresholds compared to the same month in the previous year. Results are based on initial data reports, with later adjustments not affecting the final determination.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Hims Credit Card Spend index for October 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. Each market has a distinct threshold (92, 100, 104, 108, or 116), and if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. The index reflects year-over-year changes in U.S. credit and debit card transactions specifically for Hims, with 100 representing equal spending to the prior year, values above 100 indicating growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. The data comes from Carbon Arc’s aggregated transaction panel, updated daily. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with Hims or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Hims credit card spend market tracks the current odds of whether October 2026 credit card spend will exceed a certain threshold. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how the market has valued this outcome over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $1,010. The total volume traded in this market is $20,551. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and trading activity related to Hims’ financial performance.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Hims’ credit card spend. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or analyst reports. This includes real-time data and the collective wisdom of traders. If analysts predict strong growth for Hims, we might expect to see increased demand for contracts predicting higher credit card spend in this market, driving up the price. Conversely, negative analyst sentiment could lead to lower prices.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they’re willing to buy a ‘yes’ contract) and asks (the price they’re willing to sell a ‘yes’ contract). The market price fluctuates based on the supply and demand for these contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that Hims’ October 2026 credit card spend will exceed the threshold specified in the market question. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived probability of exceeding that threshold.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual Hims credit card spend for October 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official credit card transaction data reported by Hims. The market will determine whether the total credit card spend for that month is above or below the specified level, and payouts will be made accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official Hims reports as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 14, 2026. Major announcements from Hims regarding subscriber growth, marketing campaigns, or new product launches could all impact expectations for future credit card spend. Broader economic indicators, such as consumer confidence and overall retail sales, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to the competitive landscape in the telehealth or men’s wellness space could shift market sentiment. Any significant changes in Hims’ financial performance or strategic direction are likely to move this market.