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$154.3b

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

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4,363

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5

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HBO App Downloads in September
kalshi

What will be the outcome of HBO App Downloads in September?

Volume:
$78,502

Above 64

 - Kalshi

Above 64 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

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View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 64

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,734
N/A
N/A
$5,033
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 62

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,075
N/A
N/A
$2,325
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 66

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,147
N/A
N/A
$2,147
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 60

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,201
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 74

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,302
N/A
N/A
$6,370
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 78

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,275
N/A
N/A
$6,194
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 72

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,380
N/A
N/A
$4,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 82

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,059
N/A
N/A
$5,977
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 68

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,458
N/A
N/A
$4,304
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 79

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,033
N/A
N/A
$3,472
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,325
N/A
N/A
$4,404
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 77

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,882
N/A
N/A
$2,442
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,644
N/A
N/A
$2,445
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,053
N/A
N/A
$2,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 76

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,934
N/A
N/A
$1,525
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of app downloads for a specific platform during a defined month, comparing it against various growth thresholds. The outcome depends on whether the reported download figures exceed certain benchmarks, reflecting consumer engagement and market trends.

Kalshi

All markets in this event series resolve based on the Carbon Arc Max App Downloads index for September 2026, specifically whether the reported value exceeds one of several sequential thresholds (72, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, or 82). Each market corresponds to a different threshold, and resolution for all markets hinges on the same underlying data point—the first value reported by Carbon Arc for that month. Once reported, any subsequent corrections or revisions do not alter the settled outcome. The index measures year-over-year changes, where a value of 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the same month in the prior year, with values above and below 100 signifying growth or decline, respectively. It is important to note that Kalshi maintains no official affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the HBO App Downloads market tracks the current odds and price history of contracts tied to HBO app download estimates for September. It also displays 24-hour volume of $7,982 and total volume of $78,502, letting you see how trader sentiment and market activity are evolving over time.

On Kalshi, the current odds for the HBO App Downloads market reflect trader sentiment, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often use historical download trends, market share data, and promotional activity to predict outcomes. In contrast, this market prices in real-time based on the collective bets of participants, capturing market momentum and sentiment shifts that may not be fully reflected in slower-moving analyst reports. Traders watch for news that could shift expectations for app performance, while analysts may lag behind rapid market changes.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of HBO app downloads in September is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will settle all positions based on the predefined contract terms, closing the market and determining winners and losers.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Oct 15, 2026. Key catalysts include major product announcements, changes in app store rankings, advertising campaigns, or competitor releases that affect user acquisition. Any news around HBO Max or related services — such as subscription pricing changes or content drops — may also influence expectations. Additionally, broader market trends like seasonal usage patterns or shifts in consumer behavior following holidays or events can impact download forecasts, moving trader sentiment and market prices accordingly.