TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:45 AM EST
Polymarket
The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.
The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.
This market’s current odds reflect trader expectations for the Guelph mayoral race, which can diverge from public polling averages. While polls measure voter intent through surveys, prediction markets incorporate betting behavior, financial stakes, and real-time information flows. Discrepancies between the two may signal shifting dynamics, unexpected events, or differences in how participants weigh various factors.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote tally from official Guelph municipal sources will determine the winner and settle all positions in this market.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Key catalysts include debate performance, endorsement announcements, local scandals, economic updates impacting voter sentiment, and shifts in campaign fundraising or polling data. Any event that changes public perception or candidate viability may cause rapid re-pricing as traders reassess the odds.