TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Grubhub App Downloads in September
kalshi

Grubhub App Downloads in September

Volume:
$122,679

Above 122

 - Kalshi

Above 122 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 122

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,079
N/A
N/A
$4,923
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 136

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,109
N/A
N/A
$5,475
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 128

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,332
N/A
N/A
$6,263
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 142

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,809
N/A
N/A
$3,616
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 134

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,549
N/A
N/A
$5,351
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 138

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,182
N/A
N/A
$4,124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 146

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,032
N/A
N/A
$3,635
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 132

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,332
N/A
N/A
$3,045
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 126

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,970
N/A
N/A
$3,087
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 130

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,447
N/A
N/A
$2,548
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 150

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,200
N/A
N/A
$9,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 154

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,556
N/A
N/A
$8,635
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 158

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,914
N/A
N/A
$10,914
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 166

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,951
N/A
N/A
$3,214
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 162

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,216
N/A
N/A
$2,200
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of Grubhub app downloads for September 2026, comparing them to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes depend on whether the reported year-over-year growth exceeds specific thresholds, indicating varying levels of success or decline in user acquisition for that month.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Grubhub App Downloads index for September 2026, comparing it to the same month in the prior year. The index uses a base of 100 to represent equal year-over-year downloads, with values above 100 signifying growth and below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from 122 to 142, and resolves to 'Yes' if the reported index first published by Carbon Arc exceeds its respective threshold. Any subsequent corrections or revisions to the index after market settlement will not alter the outcome. The markets are unaffiliated with Grubhub, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Grubhub app downloads market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $10,853. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the expected number of app downloads for September. The interface updates continuously, letting users monitor shifts in market sentiment and trading activity as new information emerges.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations. While analysts may publish target ranges or scenarios based on historical trends and company performance, this market reflects the crowd-sourced probability of specific download outcomes. Traders react instantly to news, earnings reports, and promotional activity, often creating tighter or more volatile odds than slower-moving polls or expert opinions.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final settlement will reflect the officially reported number of Grubhub app downloads for September, closing all positions based on that verified figure.

Key signals that could shift this market include quarterly earnings reports from Grubhub, major marketing campaigns or partnerships, changes in app store rankings, and broader market trends affecting consumer app usage. Any surprise announcements — such as new features, platform bans, or competitor activity — may also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust expectations ahead of the final count.