TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Grubhub App Downloads in October
kalshi

How will Grubhub downloads perform?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$112,540
Volume 24h:
$11,803
23%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$37,679
41%

Above 75

 - Kalshi

Above 75 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:06h:38m

Will Grubhub App Downloads for October 2026 be above 75 ?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 30% 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 75

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$7,519
0%
0%
$6,020
1w 5d 6h
Active
kalshi

Above 105

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 99¢No 6¢
5¢
N/A
$35,403
21%
77%
$12,780
1w 5d 6h
Active
kalshi

Above 115

Trade
9%
2%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$23,127
0.77%
24%
$3,849
1w 5d 6h
Active
kalshi

Above 205

Trade
6%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$5,581
0%
0%
$1,513
1w 5d 6h
Active
kalshi

Above 125

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$19,874
0.24%
0.44%
$2,971
1w 5d 6h
Active
kalshi

Above 135

Trade
4%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$7,145
0%
1%
$3,886
1w 5d 6h
Active
kalshi

Above 145

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$13,891
28%
33%
$6,659
1w 5d 6h
Active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of Grubhub app downloads for a specific month compared to the same month in the previous year. The index value indicates growth or decline relative to the prior year, with higher numbers showing stronger growth. Participants can speculate on whether download numbers will meet or exceed various growth thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Grubhub App Downloads index for October 2026, measured as year-over-year change relative to October 2025. A value of 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the prior year, with values above 100 denoting growth and below 100 denoting decline. Each market has a specific threshold: if the index exceeds the designated level (75, 105, 115, 125, 135, 145, or 205), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Final values are determined and recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day following the end of October 2026. All markets operate independently, allowing participants to assess different levels of potential growth. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with Grubhub, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Grubhub download market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can view how the implied probability of different download outcomes changes over time, alongside the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $112,540. The 24-hour volume is $9,406, indicating recent trading activity. This information allows you to assess market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to the number of Grubhub app downloads in October.

Currently, the odds in this market reflect a collective prediction about Grubhub app downloads in October. These predictions are formed by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s often interesting to compare these odds to external analyst forecasts or polls regarding consumer behavior and app usage trends. Discrepancies between this market and external forecasts can highlight areas where the crowd believes information is mispriced or where unique insights are being incorporated into the prediction.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of Grubhub app downloads. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research and beliefs, and the market price adjusts dynamically as new information becomes available and trading volume fluctuates. This creates a real-time estimate of the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official number of Grubhub app downloads for October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual number of downloads, determining which traders correctly predicted the outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent result for this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding Grubhub’s marketing campaigns, promotional offers, or partnerships could shift expectations. Broader economic indicators impacting consumer spending, such as inflation data or unemployment rates, might also play a role. Additionally, reports on competitor activity or changes in consumer preferences for food delivery services could cause the market to react. Any significant event affecting Grubhub’s user base or the overall food delivery landscape has the potential to move this market.