TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:01 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner or his spouse announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. Announcements of separations will not alone qualify. If Graham Platner or his spouse officially file for divorce without such an announcement, a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be statements from Graham Platner, his spouse, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner or his spouse announce their intention to divorce, announce a completed divorce, or file for divorce, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. Announcements of separations will not alone qualify. If Graham Platner or his spouse officially file for divorce without such an announcement, a consensus of credible reporting that the filing has occurred will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be statements from Graham Platner, his spouse, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the Graham Platner divorce will be finalized by the specified date. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective wisdom of traders, and changes in volume or significant trades can quickly shift the perceived likelihood of the event occurring. Currently, the market indicates a relatively low probability of a divorce being finalized within the timeframe.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on publicly available documentation confirming the finalization of the divorce proceedings for Graham Platner before the end date. The outcome will be determined by whether a divorce decree has been officially issued and made public. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome based on the final determination.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Official court filings related to the divorce proceedings would be a major catalyst, particularly any announcements regarding settlement negotiations or trial dates. Increased media coverage detailing the status of the divorce, or statements from involved parties, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected legal developments or changes in the parties’ public stance could also lead to price fluctuations. Any credible reports suggesting a settlement is imminent, or conversely, that the divorce is being delayed, would likely have a substantial impact on this market.
