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413,109

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Georgia Senate Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the Georgia Senate election?

Oct 16, 2026, 12:25 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Jon Ossoff (D)

 - Opinion

Jon Ossoff (D) - Opinion

1W

News

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:06h:21m

Jon Ossoff (D)

Amount

$

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Outcome
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Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Jon Ossoff (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
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N/A
1d 6h 21m
Active
opinion

Mike Collins (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 6h 21m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Georgia Senate election tracks the implied probability of different outcomes, the price history of those outcomes, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $0, with $0 traded in the last day. This allows users to see how opinions are shifting and where the most activity is focused. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the outcome of this important election.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a different outlook than many traditional polls. While polls often show a close race, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, potentially incorporating factors not fully captured in polls, such as fundraising, debate performance, and campaign strategy. It's important to remember that polls are snapshots in time, while this market continuously updates as new information becomes available. The difference between the two can be significant, offering a unique perspective on the likely result.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of the election's potential results, driven entirely by user activity and sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by relevant election authorities. The candidate who receives the most votes in the Georgia Senate election will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news events, such as debate performances, significant endorsements, or unexpected campaign finance disclosures, could all shift trader sentiment. Polling data releases, while already reflected to some extent, can also cause price adjustments. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances impacting the candidates or the election process itself could lead to substantial changes in the market. Unexpected economic news or national events could also influence perceptions and trading activity in this market.