TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026?
kalshi

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026?

Volume:
$50,083

8.7%

 - Kalshi

8.7% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

8.7%

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,557
N/A
N/A
$7,189
Settled
Yes
kalshi

8.8%

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,546
N/A
N/A
$5,461
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 8.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,291
N/A
N/A
$6,244
Settled
No
kalshi

8.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,102
N/A
N/A
$4,851
Settled
No
kalshi

9.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,707
N/A
N/A
$5,107
Settled
No
kalshi

8.6%

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,300
N/A
N/A
$3,865
Settled
No
kalshi

8.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,532
N/A
N/A
$3,932
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.0%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,973
N/A
N/A
$3,845
Settled
No
kalshi

8.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,076
N/A
N/A
$2,452
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey scheduled for October 9, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two major political parties as measured by a specific polling methodology at a precise moment in time. It reflects the anticipated competitive balance between parties in that election cycle.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if, at exactly 5:05 PM ET on October 9, 2026, the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) falls within any value from below 8.4% up to and including above 9.0%. Any value in this entire range triggers a Yes outcome, with specific thresholds defined for precision across the spectrum of possible results.