TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical public opinion survey conducted in the lead-up to the 2026 U.S. congressional elections. It focuses on measuring the difference in voter preference between two major political parties at a specific moment on election day. The result reflects whether this preference gap meets certain numerical thresholds.
Kalshi
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.5% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 9.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 9.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
