TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted in October 2026. It focuses on the difference between two parties' projected performance at a specific moment, reflecting potential shifts in public opinion ahead of an election cycle. The result depends entirely on the precise numerical margin recorded at a set time and date.
Kalshi
The event resolves based solely on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 7, 2026. If the margin is below 8.4%, exactly 8.4% through 9.0%, or above 9.0%, the market resolves to Yes. No other conditions or secondary rules apply; resolution depends entirely on this single data point at the specified timestamp.
