TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on October 6, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two major political parties as measured by a specific polling methodology at a defined time. It reflects potential shifts in public opinion regarding party preferences in the lead-up to an election.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 6, 2026. If the margin is below 8.5%, exactly 8.5% through 9.1%, or strictly above 9.1%, the market resolves to Yes. No other outcomes are possible under these rules, making the resolution entirely contingent on where the measured margin falls within these specified thresholds at the exact designated time.
