TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on October 5, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two major political parties as measured by a specific polling methodology at a precise moment in time.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) measured exactly at 5:05 PM ET on Oct 5, 2026. If the margin is below 8.5%, exactly 8.5% through exactly 9.1%, or strictly above 9.1%, the market resolves to Yes. No other outcomes are possible under these rules.
