TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on October 4, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two political parties as measured by a specific polling methodology at a precise time. The market settles based on whether this margin meets certain numerical thresholds.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) measured exactly at 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026. If the margin is below 8.5%, exactly 8.5% through exactly 9.1%, or strictly above 9.1%, the market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by this single snapshot of the poll data at the specified timestamp, with no additional considerations or tiebreakers applied beyond the stated numerical conditions.
