TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks the generic congressional ballot margin between Democrats and Republicans on October 31, 2026. It resolves based on a specific polling data point measured at a precise time, reflecting the state of voter preferences between the two major parties at that moment.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is 8.2%, 8.3%, 8.4%, 8.5%, 8.6%, 8.7%, 8.8%, or above 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, or if it is below 8.2%. The resolution depends solely on the exact margin value at the specified time, with multiple precise thresholds defined for resolution.
