TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time, resolving based on whether this margin falls within certain predefined ranges.
Kalshi
The event resolves to 'Yes' if the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026, falls within any of the specified ranges: below 7.9%, exactly 7.9%, exactly 8.0%, exactly 8.1%, exactly 8.2%, exactly 8.3%, exactly 8.4%, exactly 8.5%, or above 8.5%. The market will settle positively if the reported margin meets any of these conditions at the designated time, with no 'No' outcome defined—implying all specified scenarios result in a 'Yes' resolution.
