TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$27,399

8.8%

 - Kalshi

8.8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

8.8%

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,435
N/A
N/A
$3,400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

8.7%

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,539
N/A
N/A
$2,400
Settled
No
kalshi

9.2%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,232
N/A
N/A
$5,232
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.2%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,409
N/A
N/A
$3,756
Settled
No
kalshi

8.9%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,229
N/A
N/A
$2,019
Settled
No
kalshi

8.6%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,243
N/A
N/A
$907
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 8.6%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
$1,037
Settled
No
kalshi

9.1%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
$711
Settled
No
kalshi

9.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
$561
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time, determining the result based on where that margin falls within a defined range.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026. If the margin is below 8.6%, exactly 8.6% through 9.2%, or above 9.2%, the market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by the precise numerical value of the margin at the specified time, with no other conditions or adjustments affecting the result.