TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot question set for October 29, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two parties as measured by a specific polling index at a precise time. The market resolves based on where that margin falls within a defined range.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 29, 2026. If the margin is below 7.9%, exactly 7.9%, exactly 8.0% through exactly 8.5%, or above 8.5%, the market resolves to Yes. No other outcomes are specified, implying any value within these conditions satisfies resolution. The precise timing and polling source ensure a definitive, singular data point determines the result.
