TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result depends purely on the numerical difference in voter preference captured at that moment.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if, at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026, the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) meets any of the specified thresholds ranging from below 8.1% to above 8.7%. Each primary rule defines a distinct numerical boundary—from values below 8.1% up to any result exceeding 8.7%—with several intermediate exact-match conditions (8.1% through 8.7%) also triggering a Yes outcome. No conditions lead to a No resolution; any margin falling within or above the defined spectrum automatically satisfies one of the primary rules. The outcome is determined solely by the precise margin value at the specified timestamp, using VoteHub’s time-weighted calculation methodology.
