TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks a specific snapshot of public opinion regarding congressional control in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. It focuses on a single moment in time — 5:05 PM ET on October 25, 2026 — to capture the state of voter preferences as measured by a polling aggregate. The outcome depends entirely on where that aggregated measure falls within a narrow range of values.
Kalshi
The event resolves based solely on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 25, 2026. If the margin is below 8.1%, exactly 8.1% through 8.7%, or above 8.7%, the market resolves to Yes. No other conditions or timelines apply — the entire determination hinges on this precise instant and the numerical value of the poll aggregate at that moment.
