TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result depends entirely on where that margin falls within a narrow range of predefined values.
Kalshi
The event resolves based solely on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 24, 2026. If the margin is below 8.1%, exactly 8.1% through 8.7%, or strictly above 8.7%, the market resolves to Yes. No other conditions or outcomes are specified, and the resolution hinges entirely on this single data point at the defined timestamp.
