TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey scheduled for October 23, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two major political parties as measured by a specific polling service at a precise time. The market resolves based on whether this margin falls within certain defined thresholds.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 23, 2026. If the margin is below 8.1%, exactly 8.1% through 8.7%, or above 8.7%, the market resolves to Yes. No other outcomes are possible under these rules, making the resolution entirely contingent on the exact value of the margin at the specified time.
