TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result depends on where the reported margin falls within a defined range.
Kalshi
The event resolves to 'Yes' if the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) falls within any of several specified thresholds at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 22, 2026. Specifically, the market resolves to 'Yes' if the margin is below 7.7%, exactly 7.7% through 8.3%, or above 8.3%. The resolution hinges entirely on the precise numerical value of the margin at the designated time, with no other conditions or exceptions applying.
