TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey scheduled for October 21, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two major political parties as measured by a specific polling methodology at a precise moment. It reflects potential shifts in voter sentiment ahead of an election cycle.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) measured exactly at 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026. If the margin is below 7.6%, exactly 7.6% through exactly 8.2%, or strictly above 8.2%, the market resolves to Yes. The outcome hinges entirely on this single snapshot of polling data, with no other conditions or secondary factors influencing the resolution.
