TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted in October 2026. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a specific polling methodology at a defined moment. The result depends entirely on where that margin falls within a narrow range of values at the exact closing time.
Kalshi
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 7.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.1% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.3% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
