TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted in October 2026. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as measured by a specific polling methodology at a precise moment in time. The result depends entirely on where that margin falls within a narrow range of values.
Kalshi
The event resolves based solely on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 18, 2026. If the margin is below 7.8%, exactly 7.8%, exactly 7.9%, exactly 8.0%, exactly 8.1%, exactly 8.2%, exactly 8.3%, exactly 8.4%, or above 8.4%, the market resolves to Yes. No other conditions or outcomes are specified, and no additional secondary rules affect the resolution.
