TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey scheduled for October 17, 2026. The result depends on the margin between two major political parties as measured by a specific polling methodology at a precise moment in time. It reflects potential shifts in public opinion regarding party preferences in the lead-up to an election.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 17, 2026. If the margin is below 7.8%, exactly 7.8%, exactly 7.9%, exactly 8.0%, exactly 8.1%, exactly 8.2%, exactly 8.3%, exactly 8.4%, or above 8.4%, the market resolves to Yes. Essentially, any outcome of the time-weighted margin at the specified time and date results in a Yes resolution, with specific thresholds defined for precision in measurement.
