TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Politics
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 16, 2026?
kalshi

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume:
$13,754

8.1%

 - Kalshi

8.1% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

8.1%

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,138
N/A
N/A
$2,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

8.0%

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,312
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
No
kalshi

8.3%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,221
N/A
N/A
$711
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 7.8%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
$558
Settled
No
kalshi

8.4%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$508
Settled
No
kalshi

8.2%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$604
N/A
N/A
$582
Settled
No
kalshi

7.9%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$563
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8.4%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
$563
Settled
No
kalshi

7.8%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks a snapshot of public sentiment toward congressional candidates on a specific date. It captures how the difference in support between two major political groups stands at a precise moment, reflecting the aggregated opinions of voters as measured by a polling service.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the margin is below 7.8%, exactly 7.8% through 8.4%, or strictly above 8.4%, the market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by the precise numerical value of the margin at the specified time, with no other conditions or adjustments affecting the result.