TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks a snapshot of public sentiment toward congressional candidates on a specific date. It captures how the difference in support between two major political groups stands at a precise moment, reflecting the aggregated opinions of voters as measured by a polling service.
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the margin is below 7.8%, exactly 7.8% through 8.4%, or strictly above 8.4%, the market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by the precise numerical value of the margin at the specified time, with no other conditions or adjustments affecting the result.