TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result depends on where this margin falls within a defined range.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026. If the margin is below 7.9%, exactly 7.9%, exactly 8.0%, exactly 8.1%, exactly 8.2%, exactly 8.3%, exactly 8.4%, exactly 8.5%, or above 8.5%, the market resolves to Yes. No other outcomes are specified, implying any value within these conditions triggers a Yes resolution.
