TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks a specific snapshot of public opinion regarding congressional control in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. It focuses on a single moment in time to capture the prevailing sentiment among likely voters. The outcome depends entirely on the precise margin between two major parties at that instant.
Kalshi
The event resolves to 'Yes' if, at exactly 5:05 PM ET on October 14, 2026, the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) meets or exceeds any value from below 8.1% up to above 8.7%. Specifically, outcomes range from margins below 8.1% through exact values of 8.1%, 8.2%, 8.3%, 8.4%, 8.5%, 8.6%, and 8.7%, as well as any margin above 8.7%. No other conditions or time points influence the resolution; the market only considers this single, specific measurement at the defined timestamp.
