TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result depends purely on the numerical difference captured at that precise moment.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if, at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 13, 2026, the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) equals or exceeds any value from below 8.4% up to above 9.0%. All potential margin thresholds—from any value below 8.4% through increments of 0.1% up to above 9.0%—are explicitly covered as resolving conditions. The market evaluates a single snapshot of polling data at the specified timestamp, with no additional calculations or adjustments beyond verifying the reported margin against these predefined thresholds.
