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$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

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2,984,640,614

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$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$61,813

8.4%

 - Kalshi

8.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

8.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,576
N/A
N/A
$7,502
Settled
Yes
kalshi

8.5%

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,037
N/A
N/A
$5,066
Settled
No
kalshi

8.7%

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,659
N/A
N/A
$7,699
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 8.4%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,778
N/A
N/A
$5,597
Settled
No
kalshi

8.8%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,429
N/A
N/A
$2,818
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,082
N/A
N/A
$3,006
Settled
No
kalshi

8.6%

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,863
N/A
N/A
$2,339
Settled
No
kalshi

9.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,780
N/A
N/A
$1,749
Settled
No
kalshi

8.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,609
N/A
N/A
$1,606
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result depends purely on the numerical difference captured at that precise moment.

Kalshi

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.5% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 9.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 9.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.