TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$79,037

8.7%

 - Kalshi

8.7% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

8.7%

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,078
N/A
N/A
$7,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,201
N/A
N/A
$11,958
Settled
No
kalshi

9.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,433
N/A
N/A
$13,079
Settled
No
kalshi

8.4%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,024
N/A
N/A
$4,880
Settled
No
kalshi

8.8%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,600
N/A
N/A
$4,235
Settled
No
kalshi

8.5%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,448
N/A
N/A
$5,099
Settled
No
kalshi

8.6%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,940
N/A
N/A
$3,719
Settled
No
kalshi

8.9%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,829
N/A
N/A
$3,790
Settled
No
kalshi

Below 8.4%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,484
N/A
N/A
$3,201
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It focuses on the margin between two major political parties as reported by a designated polling source at an exact time. The result depends entirely on the numerical difference captured at that precise moment.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if, at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 11, 2026, the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) equals or exceeds any value from below 8.4% up to and including above 9.0%. All potential margin thresholds—from any value below 8.4% to any value above 9.0%—are explicitly covered across the nine primary rules. No matter where the exact margin falls within this full range, the market will resolve positively. The resolution hinges solely on the numerical result at the specified timestamp, with no ambiguity regarding qualifying values.